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MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF A SPACECRAFT DURING THE ATMOSPHERIC PHASE OF DEORBITING UNDER VARIOUS AERODYNAMIC CONDITIONS

Authors

Name Affiliation
Abdikul Ashurov

L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University

Berik Zhumazhanov

«Ghalam» LLP

Aigul Kulakayeva

International Information University

Aigerim Zylgara

SC “NC Kazakhstan Gharysh Sapary”

Issue:

Volume 1, No. 2, 2026

Pages:

21-36

Views:

5

Keywords:

deorbiting, atmospheric entry, spacecraft, modeling, EO (Earth Observation), trajectory, aerodynamic drag

Abstract

The article examines a model of atmospheric entry for a deorbiting spacecraft (SC), in which key parameters mass, aerodynamic drag coefficient, and cross-sectional area vary with altitude. This allows the model to capture the main changes occurring as the SC descends into denser atmospheric layers, including heating, ablation, and partial structural loss. Two entry scenarios are considered. The first assumes that the SC preserves its external shape, while the second includes the destruction of outer components. For both cases, downrange distances were calculated at different entry velocities and flight-path angles, resulting in thermal maps of the predicted impact range. The modeling shows that structural breakup increases the downrange distance by about 25–27 km, a trend observed in all scenarios. The results demonstrate that even a simplified breakup model can significantly affect entry dynamics and may be used to predict impact footprints and support deorbiting planning.

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Volume 1, No. 2, 2026

Ashurov, А., Zhumazhanov, B., Kulakayeva, А., & Zylgara, А. (2026). MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF A SPACECRAFT DURING THE ATMOSPHERIC PHASE OF DEORBITING UNDER VARIOUS AERODYNAMIC CONDITIONS. EKTU Journal of Engineering Sciences, 1(2), 21-36. https://doi.org/10.51885/3134-8009_JES_2026_2_2